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Subscribers to CappThesis receive dependable, thoughtful and succinct analysis throughout each week.
Last Licks
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
A Pause… for Some
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLF Financials 5- XLE Energy...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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What It all Means for the SPX
Key Points: 1- The CNN Money Fear & Greed Index hit extreme FEAR on Friday, just five weeks after...
Read MorePostScript
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Week Ending 3/10/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX: -4% Weeks Last 30 Years 2- Breadth 3- IWM Small Caps 4- XLF Financials 5- VIX...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Two 1.5% Losses in the Same Week
Key Points: 1- Yesterday’s big down session was the index’s second loss greater than 1.5% of the week...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Head on a Swivel
Key Points: 1- Over the last 18 trading days, the SPX has logged six +/-1% moves and twelve moves of...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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1% Declines, Trading Ranges and Breadth
Key Points: 1- Tuesday’s 1.5% decline ended a modest streak of six straight days of no 1% down moves. ...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Downtrend Day
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLF Financials 5- KRE Regional...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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New Patterns to Watch
Key Points: 1- We look at two potential pattern scenarios below for the SPX – one bearish and one bullish....
Read MoreLast Licks
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Mixed Action
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLB Materials 5- IWM R2k...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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After Two Strong Days
Key Points: 1- The SPX logged its fifth 1% weekly advance of 2023 last week. When the index logged more...
Read MorePostScript
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Week Ending 3/3/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX: 1% Weeks Per Year 2- Breadth 3- NDX 4- XLB Materials 5- RSP Equal Weight S&P500...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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The Reversal
Key Points: 9 reasons yesterday’s reversal could trigger a bigger up move. Select Charts from Last...
Read MoreBreaking Out
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Key Levels
In tonight’s video, we’re reviewing: 1- US Dollar Charts 2- US Dollar Study 3- SPX Patterns 4- 10 Year...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Teetering on Key Support
Key Points: 1- An immediate rollover from here would complete the SPX’s latest potential bearish formation....
Read MoreLast Licks
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No Rebound Yet
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLP Staples 5- XLU Utilities...
Read MorePostScript
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February'23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX After a +2% February 2- Monthly SPX 3- March Seasonality 4- Monthly Breadth 5-...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Inching into March
Key Points: 1- With the SPX topping on 2/2, the index has been moving lower most of the month. From...
Read MoreLast Licks
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(Another) Tepid Bounce
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLRE Real Estate 5- BOAT...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Trying to Maintain Higher Lows
Key Points: 1- Thus far, the SPX’s general structure of higher lows remain in place, which has been the...
Read MorePostScript
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Week Ending 2/24/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX: 3-Wk Losing Streaks 2- Breadth 3- MDY Mid Caps 4- XLE Energy & XLV Healthcare...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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The Next Move
Key Points: 1- With the SPX getting to within a few points of hitting the 3,965-downside target yesterday,...
Read MoreBreaking Out
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Short-Term Oversold
In tonight’s video, we’re reviewing: 1- SPX: 4 Straight Declines 2- SPX: Short-Term RSI 3- Live SPX Patterns...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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2023's Defining Trait
Key Points: 1- Limited downside has defined 2023 so far. We’ve talked about this from various angles...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Fourth Straight Decline
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLE Energy 5- NASDAQ 6- NIB...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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2% Declines
Key Points: 1- The SPX is coming off its first 2% decline in nine weeks, which is longer than any gap...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Another Flat February… So Far
Key Points: 1- The SPX is flat – literally – for the month at -0.6% with six trading days left. That’s...
Read MorePostScript
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Week Ending 02/17/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX – Losing Streaks 2- Breadth 3- IWM R2k 4- XLF Financials 5- IWO Small Cap Growth...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Bears' Next Step
Key Points: 1- After yesterday’s 1% sell-off, the SPX now has 16 +/-1% moves for the year (10 up, 6 down),...
Read MoreBreaking Out
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Bullish Patterns Being Tested... Again
In tonight’s video, we’re reviewing: 1- SPX: 1% Moves 2- SPX Patterns 3- 200-Day Study 2003-23 4- 200-Day...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Another First...
Key Points: 1- For the first time in nearly 10 months, the SPX’s 200-Day Moving Average TICKED HIGHER...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Still Holding
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLC Comm Services 5- IWM...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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SPX 4,100 Remains the Most Important Level
Key Points: 1- The recent trend clearly has been positive for the SPX, which is a direct correlation...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Broad Pre-CPI Rally
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLI Industrials 5- XLK Technology...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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After a Big Down Week
Key Points: 1- With the SPX coming off its first -1% weekly decline in nearly two months, it will need...
Read MorePostScript
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Week Ending 2/10/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX -1% Week Study 2- Breadth 3- DJIA 4- XLE Energy 5- IWO Small Cap Growth 6- ARKK...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Breakouts Being Tested
Key Points: 1- Yesterday’s continued sell-off nudged the SPX below the 4,090 zone and produced a short-term...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Closing Near the Lows
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLB Materials 5- META...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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When Big Up Moves Outnumber Big Down Moves
Key Points: 1- So far in 2023, the SPX has had NINE gains of at least 1% and FIVE declines of at least...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Little Buy Interest
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLC Comm Services 5- GOOGL...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Two Things Needed for a Trend Change
Key Points: 1- Tuesday’s comeback kept alive all three of the SPX’s bullish patterns; a fourth potential...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Roller Coaster
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLF Financials 5- KIE Insurance...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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After Two Down Days
Key Points: 1- After two straight declines, the SPX now is back inside the still very steep upward sloping...
Read MoreLast Licks
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The Pause Continues
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance, s/t RSI 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLC Comm Services...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Five Straight +/-1% Moves
Key Points: 1- The SPX comes into February’s second week fresh off five straight +/-1% moves – every...
Read MorePostScript
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Week Ending 2/3/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX Study 2- Breadth 3- MDY Mid Cap 4- XLC Comm Services 5- IWP Mid Cap Growth 6-...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Reactions Matter
Key Points: 1- Charts, key levels and comments on AMZN, GOOGL and AAPL appear below. 2- The SPX just...
Read MoreBreaking Out
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Three Straight 1% Gains
Topics reviewed in tonight’s video: 1- SPX: 50 Day MA vs. 200-Day MA 2- SentimenTrader: Golden...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Brief Comments
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance, s/t RSI 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLE Energy 5-...
Read MorePostScript
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January'23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX After a +6% January 2- Monthly SPX 3- Monthly Breadth 4- NDX, DJIA 5- XLY, XLU...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Big Moves Remain Rampant
Key Points: 1- With another eight absolute moves of at least 1% this month (and one more day to go),...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Profit Taking
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLK Technology 5- XLC Communications...
Read MorePostScript
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Week Ending 1/27/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX +1% Wkly Gains in Three of Last Four Wks 2- Breadth 3- NDX 4- XLF Financials 5-...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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The Biggest Patterns Have Failed… So Far
Key Points: 1- With the SPX logging its fifth 1% gain of the month (and year) on Thursday, the index...
Read MoreBreaking Out
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Impending Breakouts
Topics reviewed in tonight’s video: 1- SentimenTrader: Volatility Across Asset Classes 2- Stock...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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The Benefit of Tiny Market Moves
Key Points: 1- The SPX just logged two straight moves less than 10 bps, which could be a sign of a legitimate...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Fourth Straight Good Finish
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLF 5- KBWB Banks...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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+1% Streaks
Key Points: 1- The SPX is coming off two straight gains of at least 1%, which it last accomplished from...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Two Good Days
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLC Communications 5- QQQJ...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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The Importance of Good Weekly Closes
Key Points: 1- As we continue to look for ways in which 2023 can be different (and better) than ‘22,...
Read MorePostScript
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Week Ending 1/20/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX Closing Near Weekly Highs Study 2- Breadth 3- DJIA 4- XLC, XLF, XLRE, XLB 5- SPHB...
Read MoreMorning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1-The SPX endured its first three-day loss of 2023 yesterday. 2-The SECOND long losing streak...
Breaking Out
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SPX 3,900
Topics reviewed in tonight’s video: 1-Dumb Money Indicator 2- SPX Patterns 3- Index Breadth 4-...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- The SPX’s 1.6% decline yesterday negated the latest bullish pattern. 2- Whether we’re...
Last Licks
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Three Important Chart Formations
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Breadth 3- Three important chart formations 4- Sector ETFs:...
Morning Trends
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Failed Bearish Patterns
Key Points: 1- While the SPX’s bullish formations have taken time to develop lately, it’s just as significant...
Read MoreLast Licks
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Split Decision
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLB & XLC 5- NDX 7-day...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- The SPX is coming off its best two-week showing (+4.1%) since the two-week period ending...
PostScript
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Week Ending 1/13/23
Topics Covered: 1- SPX Two-Wk Moves of Least +4% 2- Breadth 3- NDX 100 4- XLC, XLI, XLRE 5- IWO Small...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1-The SPX simply needs to move sideways to effectively “break” the popular long-term downtrend...
Breaking Out
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Bullish Patterns
Topics Discussed: 1-Breakaway Momentum 2-SPX Key Resistance 3-SPX Patterns 4-Patterns 5-Index Breadth...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- In 2022, the SPX was LOWER two weeks after the CPI report 8/12 times. 2- Many times,...
Last Licks
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The Bounce Continues
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLRE Real Estate 5- AMZN...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- The SPX’s small bearish pattern we’ve been watching was negated yesterday. Two small...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- The SPX remains in the same trading range it’s been in for the last month, which began...
Last Licks
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Pre-Powell Reversal
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLV Healthcare 5- PJP Drugs...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- From a price action perspective, the SPX has a chance to do something it hasn’t accomplished...
PostScript
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Week Ending 1/6/2023
Topics Covered: 1- SPX Weekly Streaks 2- Breadth 3- MDY Mid Caps 4- XLC Communication Services 5- PKW...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- The US Dollar’s long-term chart has suggested the current price level was a likely spot...
Breaking Out
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Rangebound... for Now
Topics reviewed in tonight’s video: 1-SPX: consecutive down years 2-SPX: Patterns 3-SPX: 20 Day...
Read MoreMorning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1-While the SPX has remained quiet, 16 key ETFs we track made new 20-Day Highs yesterday....
Last Licks
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Big Moves Outside of SPX
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLF Financials 5- SIL Silver...
Read MoreMorning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1-Tracking the frequency of large moves gives us important clues about the market’s trading...
Last Licks
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Slow Start
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLC Comm Services 5- META...
Morning Trends
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New Year, Same Trends
Key Points: 1- The SPX has logged successive down years only TWICE since the early 1940s (’73-’74 and...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Key Points Two overriding themes were prevalent in 2022 from a technical viewpoint: 1-The traditional...
Last Licks
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Bad Start, Good Bounce
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX Performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLV Healthcare, XLE Energy...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- The most successful bearish patterns in ’22 have taken shape soon after the SPX has come...
Last Licks
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Oversold Bounce
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX 1% gains 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLV Healthcare 5- XLRE Real...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- Four-day declines happening after preceding big drawdowns led to the best long set-ups...
Morning Trends
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Morning Trends: AAPL Key Points: 1- From its late November high, AAPL now is -14%, which makes it...
Last Licks
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Downside Follow Through
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLY Consumer Discretionary...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- The SPX is coming off its seventh two-week -5% decline of the year and the first in three...
PostScript
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Week Ending 12/16/22
Topics Covered: 1- SPX -5% over 2-wks study 2- Breadth 3- NDX 4- XLE Energy and XLY Consumer Discretionary...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- Whatever today’s result is… it will have repercussions from a pattern perspective. ...
Last Licks
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The Real Reaction
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLK Technology 5- S&P...
Read MoreMorning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- Back and forth movement has defined the market action more than anything else going back...
Last Licks
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Flat
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLC Comm Services 5- New...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- This is the first time in 2022 that an FOMC rate decision followed a CPI report the very...
Breaking Out
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SPX 4,100
In tonight’s video, we’re reviewing: 1-SPX’s -3% weeks in ‘22 2-SPX’s -3% weeks per year 3-Performance...
Morning Trends
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Key Points: 1- Even though the SPX tacked on 350 points from the close on 11/09 to its recent high on...
Last Licks
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Big Moves before the Big Number
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- VIX +9%, SPX +1% on same day 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLK...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- Since the day after Thanksgiving, the SPX is down 8/10 days, which turned a potential...
PostScript
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Week Ending 12/09/22
Topics Covered: 1- SPX -3% weeks study 2- Breadth 3- DJIA 4- XLE Energy and XLRE Real Estate 5- IWO Small...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1– We have two full trading days left before the CPI report, and the SPX once again...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1– The SPX now has endured five-day declines six times in 2022. Of the prior five,...
Last Licks
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No Bounce
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance 2- Patterns 3- Breadth 4- Sector ETFs: XLV Healthcare 5- Healthcare...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1– The SPX just logged its second straight 1% decline for the 13th time this year....
Breaking Out
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Two Tough Days
Topics Reviewed in Tonight’s Video: 1-SPX’s two straight 1% declines 2-Now vs. prior comeback attempts...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1– In our Morning Trends piece from 11/25, “All Eyes on Mid-December,” we discussed...
Last Licks
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Second Straight Big Monday Decline
Topics Reviewed: 1- SPX’s performance2- Patterns3- Breadth4- Sector ETFs: XLY Con Discr and XLF Financials5-...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1– A simple and instructive way to track strength and weakness is to view 10 significant...
PostScript
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Week Ending 12/02/22
Topics Covered: 1- SPX’s current comeback vs. others since 20092- Breadth3- NDX4- XLP Consumer Staples5-...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1– The market has done two things rather well in recent weeks: capitalize on important...
Last Licks
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Slow Start… for Some
Topics Reviewed: SPX’s Performance, patterns, breadth, XLP Consumer Discretionary, XRT Retail, ZROZ...
PostScript
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After Two Straight +5% Months
Key Points 1-In today’s piece, we look at what two straight 5% months means going forward, December performance...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- The SPX’s current 2.2% November advance is right in line with past Novembers that have...
Breaking Out
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One More Day
In tonight’s video, we’re reviewing Seasonality, Big Daily Moves, SPX Patterns, Breadth, NDX, XLU, XLK,...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- The SPX’s 14-Day RSI indicator just grazed the 60-area for the third time this year....
Last Licks
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Another 1% Decline
Topics Reviewed: SPX’s Performance, patterns, breadth, XLP Consumer Staples, XLV Healthcare, XLI Industrials,...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- Just 4/10 of the SPX’s biggest names are up YTD (BRKB, UNH, JNJ and XOM). 7/10 of the...
PostScript
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Week Ending 11/25/22
Topics Covered: SPX, Seasonality, Breadth, DJIA, Sector ETFs above their August Highs, XLV, MTUM, XME,...
Read MoreMorning Trends
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Key Points: 1- The final CPI report of the year will be released on Tuesday, 12/13, and the last FOMC...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- Since 10/13, which now spans 28 trading days, the SPX has seen an equal number of advances...
Breaking Out
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Big Moves are Back
Topics discussed in today’s video are the SPX’s performance, Breadth, Patterns, XLK, XLI, XLP,...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- Like the SPX, the VIX has experienced multi-week swings various times this year. The...
Last Licks
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SPX Holds Again
Topics Reviewed: SPX’s Performance, patterns, breadth, XLU, XLP, XLV, OIH, KIE, PBJ, MGPI, PEP, Lagging...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1-As referenced yesterday, Thanksgiving Week historically has had a positive bias, but in...
PostScript
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Week Ending 11/18/22
Topics Covered: SPX’s weekly moves smaller than +/-1%, Thanksgiving Week performance, Breadth, IWC, XLY,...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- So far in 2022, the SPX has logged four weekly declines that did NOT undercut the prior...
Last Licks
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Down but Not Out
Topics Reviewed: SPX’s Performance, patterns, breadth, XLK, AAPL, MSFT, biggest moves from the lows...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- At some point, the SPX’s steep uptrend will be challenged, which perhaps, is happening...
Last Licks
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Quietly Testing Important Levels
Topics Reviewed: SPX’s Performance, patterns, breadth, XLE, VEU (world, ex-US), TLT, ZROZ, ARKK, MSOS,...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1- The NDX was up 1.5% yesterday, having stayed above its breakout zone now for three straight...
Breaking Out
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Market Update 11/15/22
Topics discussed into today’s video include: SPX’s +5% weeks now vs. 2009, Breadth, Patterns now...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1-In 2009, the SPX’s momentum materially shifted after logging that fourth 5% week. This...
Last Licks
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Breather
Topics Reviewed: SPX’s performance, patterns, breadth, XLC, XLY, overbought ETFs, ETFs making new 50-Day...
Morning Trends
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Key Points: 1-The SPX just logged its third week of at least +4% gains in a four-week time frame. Since...
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