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Subscribers to CappThesis receive dependable, thoughtful and succinct analysis throughout each week.
Opening Look
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Losing Streaks and Breadth
Key Points: –The SPX now is down three straight days. The last losing streak longer than three...
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This Trait Needs to Change
We recently discussed the rejuvenation of big moves over the last five weeks: 12 +/-1% moves in 24 trading...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Searching for a Good Close
Key Point: –Over the prior eleven trading sessions, the SPX has finished above its intra-day mid-point...
Read MoreChart Trades
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9/4/24 - 2 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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A Familiar Start
Key Points -With yesterday’s big decline, the SPX now has logged 12 absolute 1% moves in the last 24...
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September’24
Topics Covered: SPX -Key monthly stats -Patterns -Monthly chart -September Seasonality -Best Starts in...
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Chart of the Week - 8/30/24
March’23 Officially, Thursday’s move was a down day, which gave us two straight losses. ...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Most Volatile Month Since March'23
Key Points: 1- Yesterday’s negligible down move gave the SPX its first losing streak since the three...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Late Summer Fireworks
Key Points: 1- The SPX has alternated gains and losses the last seven trading sessions after the eight-day...
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8/29/24 - 2 buys + NVDA
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Next Trading Box
Topics Covered: Market -Intra-day -Trading boxes -Live patterns -Potential patterns -AVWAP ...
Read MoreOpening Look
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After the Spike
Key Points: 1- From the August 5th low through yesterday’s peak, the SPX gained approximately 9.9%. That’s...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The First Time Since June'23
Key Point: For the first time since June’23, the SPX has logged FIVE 1% gains in a calendar month....
Read MoreChart Trades
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8/20/24 - 2 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Seven Straight & Target Hit
Topics Covered: Market -SPX 5-day path -Seven-day winning streaks -Weekly SPX charts -Live patterns -Potential...
Read MoreRoadmap
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Week of 8/19/24
Topics Covered: Market -SPX 5-day path -Seven-day winning streaks -Big weekly gains -Weekly SPX charts...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 8/16/24
Chart of the Week – FIS FIS was one of FOUR buy ideas that appeared across two Chart Trades pieces...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Clusters of Big Gains
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has had three 1% gains in six days. We haven’t seen a cluster of 1% gains...
Read MoreChart Trades
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8/16/24 - 1 buy
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Another 5-Day Winning Streak
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has logged SEVEN winning streaks of at least five days since the October’23...
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Strong 6-day Moves
Strong 6-day Moves Altogether, the SPX now is +4.8% over the last six days, which is the best six-day...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Strong 6-day Moves & CPI
Topics Covered: Market -Intra-day -Strong 6-day moves -SPX & CPI -Live patterns -Potential patterns...
Read MoreChart Trades
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
8/14/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Retracement
Topics Covered: Market -Intra-day -Steps for a new uptrend -Retracement -Live patterns -Potential patterns...
Read MoreOpening Look
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New Breakout Target
Key Points: 1- The SPX’s pullback from the channel’s upper threshold does not look too different than...
Read MoreRoadmap
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Week of 8/12/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX’s pullback from the channel’s upper threshold does not look too different than...
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 8/9/24
Chart of the Week – MSFT MSFT was one of FOUR buy ideas that appeared in Friday’s Chart Trades...
Read MoreOpening Look
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A Short-Term Bullish Pattern
Key Points: 1- The S&P 500 finished yesterday near the potential breakout zone of a key short-term...
Read MoreChart Trades
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8/9/24 - 4 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Most Important Trend
Key Points: 1 -Overall, from 5/31–7/8, the SPX closed above its mid-point 19/25 days or 76% of the time....
Read MoreOpening Look
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Steps for a New Uptrend
Key Points: 1- We review the seven steps needed for an uptrend to be re-established below. 2- The SPX...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Missing Uptrend Traits
Missing Uptrend Traits Bad closes have been the norm before and now, during, the summer correction of...
Read MoreChart Trades
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8/6/24 - Oversold & Near Support
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreRoadmap
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Week of 8/5/24
Topics Covered: Market -SPX 5-day path -Weekly SPX charts -Drawdown scenarios -Live patterns -Potential...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 8/2/24
Chart of the Week: 1% Gain => 1% Decline This chart appeared in Friday’s pre-market Opening Look piece,...
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Another First...
Key Points: 1- The SPX followed a 1% gain with a 1% loss yesterday for the first time since August 23-24,...
Read MoreOpening Look
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SPX & FOMC
Key Points: 1- The SPX has been higher two weeks after a Fed rate decision six straight times. 2-The...
Read MoreChart Trades
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7/30/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreRoadmap
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Week of 7/29/24
Key Points: 1- On Friday, 87% S&P 500 stocks finished higher, which was the best breadth day since...
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 7/27/24
Chart of the Week – 2 % Declines As we know, the SPX logged a 2% decline on Wednesday for the first...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Sub-par Closes
Key Points: 1- Yesterday marked the SPX’s eighth close below its intra-day mid-point in the last 10 trading...
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Clusters of 1% Moves
1% Moves With the second 1% gain of July on Monday, the SPX has notched at least two 1% advances is...
Read MoreOpening Look
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No Summer Doldrums Yet
Topics Covered: Market -1% moves -Clusters of big days -Live Patterns -Potential Patterns -AVWAP ...
Read MoreChart Trades
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7/23/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Response
Key Points: 1- Seasonality: On average, the DJIA has sold off soon after the month’s second half has...
Read MoreRoadmap
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Week of 7/22/24
Key Points: 1- Seasonality: On average, the DJIA has sold off soon after the month’s second half has...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Monster Rotation Continues
Key Points: 1- Rotation continued to be the dominant theme, and this has resulted in eight straight days...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Historic Movement
Key Points: -Among other stats, here’s this: IWM’s 14-day RSI now is at 80. The indicator only has...
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Opening Look & Chart Trades
OPENING LOOK Comparing the Rallies From the April low to yesterday’s intra-day high, the SPX has gained...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Comparing the Rallies
Key Points: 1- From the April low to yesterday’s intra-day high, the SPX has gained +14.6% over 58 trading...
Read MoreChart Trades
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7/16/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Breadth: New All-Time Highs
Key Points: 1- Six S&P 500 sectors gained at least 2% last week, which prompted the index’s advance-decline...
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Week of 7/15/24
Key Points: 1- Six S&P 500 sectors gained at least 2% last week, which prompted the index’s advance-decline...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 7/12/24
Chart of the Week – Real Rotation The rotation out of Tech and into everything else was widely...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Tech Lags, Everything Else Rallies
Key Points: 1-The S&P 500 now has had positive breadth for eight straight sessions on days in which...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Bullish Stats
Key Points: 1- Yesterday’s 1% gain ended the 22-trading day drought without one. That was the longest...
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Six Straight Gains
Six Straight Gains Officially, the SPX notched its sixth straight gain yesterday, which started on...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Six in a Row
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up six days in a row. Since the October’23 low point, this now is the index’s...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Eighth Pattern Target Hit
Key Points: 1- The SPX hit its eighth bullish pattern last week at 5,555. We’re left with one live...
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Week of 7/8/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX hit its eighth bullish pattern last week at 5,555. We’re left with one live bullish...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 7/5/24
Chart of the Week – The Strongest Stocks Buying only the biggest stocks may not sound appealing...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Strongest Stocks
Key Points: 1- The SPX finished about 80 bps shy of achieving the latest bullish pennant objective of...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Real Trend
Key Points: 1- The SPX’s last 1% advance occurred on 6/5, which was 17 days ago. This now is the longest...
Read MoreChart Trades
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7/2/24 - 2 buys, 1 Short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red ...
Read MoreRoadmap
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July'24 & Q3
Topics Covered: SPX -Key monthly stats -Patterns -Monthly chart -July Seasonality -After a Strong 1st...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 6/28/24
Chart of the Week – 1% Moves So far in June, the SPX has logged just a single 1% advance...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Almost Halftime
Key Points: 1- The SPX is set to log its seventh monthly gain in the last eight as June concludes. It...
Read MoreOpening Look
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June'24 vs. July'23
Key Points: 1- So far in June, the SPX has logged just a single 1% advance (6/5) and zero 1% declines....
Read MoreOpening Look
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Chart Rundown
Key Points: 1- We’ve seen the same kind of mini pattern play out throughout June for the SPX: A big...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Rotation Revisited
Key Points: 1- As late as 3:00 on Monday, 80% of the SPX’s stocks were up. The late selloff knocked...
Read MoreChart Trades
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6/25/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Top of the Channels
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up 8/9 weeks and is testing the upper lines of TWO upward sloping channels....
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Week of 6/24/24 - Top of the Channels
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up 8/9 weeks and is testing the upper lines of TWO upward sloping channels....
Read MoreCappNotes
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 6/21/24
Chart of the Week – Seventh SPX Upside Target Hit With all the talk centered on the (formerly)...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Seventh SPX Upside Target Hit
Key Points: 1- The SPX hit our latest target of 5,495 yesterday, making it the seventh successful bullish...
Read MoreChart Trades
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6/21/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
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XLC vs. XLK
Topics Covered: Market -Patterns -AVWAP Daily Stats -Daily price action -Index breadth -Sector performance...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Breadth Divergences Grow
Breadth Divergences Grow As we know, the biggest growth names have separated themselves from the smaller...
Read MoreOpening Look
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This Hasn't Happened since September 2020
Key Points: 1- The XLK Tech ETF ended yesterday with a 14-day RSI reading of 80, the highest since 9/1/20. ...
Read MoreChart Trades
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
6/18/24 - 2 buys, 1 short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Breadth Divergences Grow
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is getting close to testing the upper lines of two weekly trading channels....
Read MoreRoadmap
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Week of 6/17/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is getting close to testing the upper lines of two weekly trading channels....
Read MoreCappNotes
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 6/14/24
Chart of the Week – AAPL As we know, AAPL blasted back to new highs with one of its biggest two-day...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Fear of New Highs
Key Points: 1- The CNN Business Fear & Greed Index hit the Fear Zone yesterday as the SPX made a...
Read MoreOpening Look
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SPX: Three Live Bullish Patterns
Key Points: 1- With Wednesday’s opening gap and hold, the latest pattern breakout was confirmed. The...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Double Jeopardy
Key Points: 1- The SPX sits at a new-all time high with a 14-day RSI of 67 ahead of today’s trading session....
Read MoreCappNotes
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A Recent Trade Idea
ENPH is a risky and longer-term play. It’s had an extremely volatile downfall and subsequent comeback...
Read MoreChart Trades
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
6/11/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreRoadmap
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Week of 6/10/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has spent five weeks above each of the key weekly moving averages – the shortest...
Read MoreOpening Look
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New Highs vs. Divergences
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has spent five weeks above each of the key weekly moving averages – the shortest...
Read MoreCappNotes
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 6/7/24
Chart of the Week – The SPX’s Latest Bullish Pattern The S&P 500 continues to extend...
Read MoreOpening Look
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Chart Rundown
Topics Covered: Daily Stats -Daily price action -Index breadth -Sector performance -Best & worst...
Read MoreChart Trades
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
6/7/24 - 2 buys, 1 short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Winning Streaks, 1% Gains & Tech
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up four straight days, which is the NINTH winning streak of at least four...
Read MoreOpening Look
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SPX Holding while Others Move
Key Points: 1- So far, things have played out in the short-term work as we’d expect after the last snapback. ...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Losing Streaks & Drawdowns
Short Losing Streaks The SPX hasn’t had a losing streak longer than two days in a while. Specifically,...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Short Losing Streaks
Key Points: 1- The SPX hasn’t had a losing streak longer than two days since the six-day downturn from...
Read MoreChart Trades
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
6/4/24 - 3 Buys, 1 Short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreCappNotes
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 5/31/24
Chart of the Week The following commentary appeared in Wednesday morning’s Opening Look piece. ...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Spotted ➡ Rotation
Key Points: 1- Before yesterday, the last time the XLK lost 2% was on 4/30/24. The SPX had 11% advancing...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Last Three Days
Key Points: 1- There only have been three trading days since last Thursday’s bearish engulfing pattern,...
Read MoreOpening Look
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The Market's Foundation
Key Points: 1- S&P 500 breadth has been sub-par recently, with negative internals now in 5/6, 6/8...
Read MoreCappNotes
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Four SPX Charts
SPX Weekly Track If it felt like a back-and-forth week with ultimately no net movement in front of a...
Read MoreOpening Look
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Five Week Win Streaks
Key Points: 1- Friday’s snapback helped the SPX secure its fifth consecutive weekly advance, its second...
Read MoreRoadmap
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Week of 5/28/24
Key Points: 1- Friday’s snapback helped the SPX secure its fifth consecutive weekly advance, its second...
Read MoreCappNotes
![](https://cappthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/chart-thumb-bg.jpg)
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 5/24/24
Chart of the Week – Bearish Engulfing Patterns The SPX logged a bearish engulfing pattern yesterday...
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After the Reversal
Key Points: 1- Given that the prior few days of price action all were tiny in comparison, the SPX’s reversal...
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5/24/24 - 3 Buys, 2 Shorts
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
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Now vs. Nov'23
Key Points: 1- There are similarities between the current comeback and November’23. See below. 2- A...
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Five Crypto Charts
Ethereum Let’s start with Ethereum’s massive 20% spike. As we know, speculation that an ETF is getting...
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Chart Rundown
Key Points: 1- Ethereum and Bitcoin’s huge moves have brought them closer to major pattern breakout attempts....
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Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Key Points: 1- The SPX has a four-week gain of 6.77%. Since June’2020, it’s the 13th four-week gain...
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 5/17/24
Chart of the Week – Successful Bullish Patterns The S&P 500 hit its sixth bullish pattern...
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CPI & Indicator Check Up
Key Points: 1- The SPX comes into CPI Day with a 14-day RSI reading of 64. The last seven times the SPX...
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SPX, ARKK & NASDAQ Breadth
SPX Still Calm The SPX is coming off its best three-day and three-week advance of 2024, both of which...
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SPX Still Calm
Key Points: 1- The SPX logged it second negligible loss in the last four trading days. If bullish pattern...
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Best Three Weeks of 2024
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is +5.1% over the last three weeks. It’s the best three week run of 2024 and...
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Best Three Weeks of 2024
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is +5.1% over the last three weeks. It’s the best three week run of 2024 and...
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Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 5/10/24
Chart of the Week – Good Closes 🟢The SPX just closed above its intra-day mid-point for the 10th...
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Another Potential Bullish Pattern
Key Points: 1- The SPX is close to triggering another bullish pattern. There are currently two live bullish...
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Good Closes are Back
Key Points: 1- The SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point 10/13 trading sessions (77% of the time)....
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5/9/24 - Eight Bullish Bank Charts
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
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Chart Rundown
Topics Covered: Key Charts -MAGS vs. SPX -KRE Regional banks -XLE Energy -XLU Utilities -XLY Cons Discretionary...
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