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Subscribers to CappThesis receive dependable, thoughtful and succinct analysis throughout each week.
Chart Trades
8/20/24 - 2 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
Seven Straight & Target Hit
Topics Covered: Market -SPX 5-day path -Seven-day winning streaks -Weekly SPX charts -Live patterns -Potential...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 8/19/24
Topics Covered: Market -SPX 5-day path -Seven-day winning streaks -Big weekly gains -Weekly SPX charts...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 8/16/24
Chart of the Week – FIS FIS was one of FOUR buy ideas that appeared across two Chart Trades pieces...
Read MoreOpening Look
Clusters of Big Gains
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has had three 1% gains in six days. We haven’t seen a cluster of 1% gains...
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8/16/24 - 1 buy
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
Another 5-Day Winning Streak
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has logged SEVEN winning streaks of at least five days since the October’23...
Read MoreCappNotes
Strong 6-day Moves
Strong 6-day Moves Altogether, the SPX now is +4.8% over the last six days, which is the best six-day...
Read MoreOpening Look
Strong 6-day Moves & CPI
Topics Covered: Market -Intra-day -Strong 6-day moves -SPX & CPI -Live patterns -Potential patterns...
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8/14/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Retracement
Topics Covered: Market -Intra-day -Steps for a new uptrend -Retracement -Live patterns -Potential patterns...
Read MoreOpening Look
New Breakout Target
Key Points: 1- The SPX’s pullback from the channel’s upper threshold does not look too different than...
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Week of 8/12/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX’s pullback from the channel’s upper threshold does not look too different than...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 8/9/24
Chart of the Week – MSFT MSFT was one of FOUR buy ideas that appeared in Friday’s Chart Trades...
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A Short-Term Bullish Pattern
Key Points: 1- The S&P 500 finished yesterday near the potential breakout zone of a key short-term...
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8/9/24 - 4 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Most Important Trend
Key Points: 1 -Overall, from 5/31–7/8, the SPX closed above its mid-point 19/25 days or 76% of the time....
Read MoreOpening Look
Steps for a New Uptrend
Key Points: 1- We review the seven steps needed for an uptrend to be re-established below. 2- The SPX...
Read MoreCappNotes
Missing Uptrend Traits
Missing Uptrend Traits Bad closes have been the norm before and now, during, the summer correction of...
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8/6/24 - Oversold & Near Support
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 8/5/24
Topics Covered: Market -SPX 5-day path -Weekly SPX charts -Drawdown scenarios -Live patterns -Potential...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 8/2/24
Chart of the Week: 1% Gain => 1% Decline This chart appeared in Friday’s pre-market Opening Look piece,...
Read MoreOpening Look
Another First...
Key Points: 1- The SPX followed a 1% gain with a 1% loss yesterday for the first time since August 23-24,...
Read MoreOpening Look
SPX & FOMC
Key Points: 1- The SPX has been higher two weeks after a Fed rate decision six straight times. 2-The...
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7/30/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 7/29/24
Key Points: 1- On Friday, 87% S&P 500 stocks finished higher, which was the best breadth day since...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 7/27/24
Chart of the Week – 2 % Declines As we know, the SPX logged a 2% decline on Wednesday for the first...
Read MoreOpening Look
Sub-par Closes
Key Points: 1- Yesterday marked the SPX’s eighth close below its intra-day mid-point in the last 10 trading...
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Clusters of 1% Moves
1% Moves With the second 1% gain of July on Monday, the SPX has notched at least two 1% advances is...
Read MoreOpening Look
No Summer Doldrums Yet
Topics Covered: Market -1% moves -Clusters of big days -Live Patterns -Potential Patterns -AVWAP ...
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7/23/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Response
Key Points: 1- Seasonality: On average, the DJIA has sold off soon after the month’s second half has...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 7/22/24
Key Points: 1- Seasonality: On average, the DJIA has sold off soon after the month’s second half has...
Read MoreOpening Look
Monster Rotation Continues
Key Points: 1- Rotation continued to be the dominant theme, and this has resulted in eight straight days...
Read MoreOpening Look
Historic Movement
Key Points: -Among other stats, here’s this: IWM’s 14-day RSI now is at 80. The indicator only has...
Read MoreCappNotes
Opening Look & Chart Trades
OPENING LOOK Comparing the Rallies From the April low to yesterday’s intra-day high, the SPX has gained...
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Comparing the Rallies
Key Points: 1- From the April low to yesterday’s intra-day high, the SPX has gained +14.6% over 58 trading...
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7/16/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red...
Read MoreOpening Look
Breadth: New All-Time Highs
Key Points: 1- Six S&P 500 sectors gained at least 2% last week, which prompted the index’s advance-decline...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 7/15/24
Key Points: 1- Six S&P 500 sectors gained at least 2% last week, which prompted the index’s advance-decline...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 7/12/24
Chart of the Week – Real Rotation The rotation out of Tech and into everything else was widely...
Read MoreOpening Look
Tech Lags, Everything Else Rallies
Key Points: 1-The S&P 500 now has had positive breadth for eight straight sessions on days in which...
Read MoreOpening Look
Bullish Stats
Key Points: 1- Yesterday’s 1% gain ended the 22-trading day drought without one. That was the longest...
Read MoreCappNotes
Six Straight Gains
Six Straight Gains Officially, the SPX notched its sixth straight gain yesterday, which started on...
Read MoreOpening Look
Six in a Row
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up six days in a row. Since the October’23 low point, this now is the index’s...
Read MoreOpening Look
Eighth Pattern Target Hit
Key Points: 1- The SPX hit its eighth bullish pattern last week at 5,555. We’re left with one live...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 7/8/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX hit its eighth bullish pattern last week at 5,555. We’re left with one live bullish...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 7/5/24
Chart of the Week – The Strongest Stocks Buying only the biggest stocks may not sound appealing...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Strongest Stocks
Key Points: 1- The SPX finished about 80 bps shy of achieving the latest bullish pennant objective of...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Real Trend
Key Points: 1- The SPX’s last 1% advance occurred on 6/5, which was 17 days ago. This now is the longest...
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7/2/24 - 2 buys, 1 Short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue or green 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red ...
Read MoreRoadmap
July'24 & Q3
Topics Covered: SPX -Key monthly stats -Patterns -Monthly chart -July Seasonality -After a Strong 1st...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 6/28/24
Chart of the Week – 1% Moves So far in June, the SPX has logged just a single 1% advance...
Read MoreOpening Look
Almost Halftime
Key Points: 1- The SPX is set to log its seventh monthly gain in the last eight as June concludes. It...
Read MoreOpening Look
June'24 vs. July'23
Key Points: 1- So far in June, the SPX has logged just a single 1% advance (6/5) and zero 1% declines....
Read MoreOpening Look
Chart Rundown
Key Points: 1- We’ve seen the same kind of mini pattern play out throughout June for the SPX: A big...
Read MoreOpening Look
Rotation Revisited
Key Points: 1- As late as 3:00 on Monday, 80% of the SPX’s stocks were up. The late selloff knocked...
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6/25/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
Top of the Channels
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up 8/9 weeks and is testing the upper lines of TWO upward sloping channels....
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 6/24/24 - Top of the Channels
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up 8/9 weeks and is testing the upper lines of TWO upward sloping channels....
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 6/21/24
Chart of the Week – Seventh SPX Upside Target Hit With all the talk centered on the (formerly)...
Read MoreOpening Look
Seventh SPX Upside Target Hit
Key Points: 1- The SPX hit our latest target of 5,495 yesterday, making it the seventh successful bullish...
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6/21/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
XLC vs. XLK
Topics Covered: Market -Patterns -AVWAP Daily Stats -Daily price action -Index breadth -Sector performance...
Read MoreCappNotes
Breadth Divergences Grow
Breadth Divergences Grow As we know, the biggest growth names have separated themselves from the smaller...
Read MoreOpening Look
This Hasn't Happened since September 2020
Key Points: 1- The XLK Tech ETF ended yesterday with a 14-day RSI reading of 80, the highest since 9/1/20. ...
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6/18/24 - 2 buys, 1 short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
Breadth Divergences Grow
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is getting close to testing the upper lines of two weekly trading channels....
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 6/17/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is getting close to testing the upper lines of two weekly trading channels....
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 6/14/24
Chart of the Week – AAPL As we know, AAPL blasted back to new highs with one of its biggest two-day...
Read MoreOpening Look
Fear of New Highs
Key Points: 1- The CNN Business Fear & Greed Index hit the Fear Zone yesterday as the SPX made a...
Read MoreOpening Look
SPX: Three Live Bullish Patterns
Key Points: 1- With Wednesday’s opening gap and hold, the latest pattern breakout was confirmed. The...
Read MoreOpening Look
Double Jeopardy
Key Points: 1- The SPX sits at a new-all time high with a 14-day RSI of 67 ahead of today’s trading session....
Read MoreCappNotes
A Recent Trade Idea
ENPH is a risky and longer-term play. It’s had an extremely volatile downfall and subsequent comeback...
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6/11/24 - 3 buys
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 6/10/24
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has spent five weeks above each of the key weekly moving averages – the shortest...
Read MoreOpening Look
New Highs vs. Divergences
Key Points: 1- The SPX now has spent five weeks above each of the key weekly moving averages – the shortest...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 6/7/24
Chart of the Week – The SPX’s Latest Bullish Pattern The S&P 500 continues to extend...
Read MoreOpening Look
Chart Rundown
Topics Covered: Daily Stats -Daily price action -Index breadth -Sector performance -Best & worst...
Read MoreChart Trades
6/7/24 - 2 buys, 1 short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
Winning Streaks, 1% Gains & Tech
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is up four straight days, which is the NINTH winning streak of at least four...
Read MoreOpening Look
SPX Holding while Others Move
Key Points: 1- So far, things have played out in the short-term work as we’d expect after the last snapback. ...
Read MoreCappNotes
Losing Streaks & Drawdowns
Short Losing Streaks The SPX hasn’t had a losing streak longer than two days in a while. Specifically,...
Read MoreOpening Look
Short Losing Streaks
Key Points: 1- The SPX hasn’t had a losing streak longer than two days since the six-day downturn from...
Read MoreChart Trades
6/4/24 - 3 Buys, 1 Short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 5/31/24
Chart of the Week The following commentary appeared in Wednesday morning’s Opening Look piece. ...
Read MoreOpening Look
Spotted ➡ Rotation
Key Points: 1- Before yesterday, the last time the XLK lost 2% was on 4/30/24. The SPX had 11% advancing...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Last Three Days
Key Points: 1- There only have been three trading days since last Thursday’s bearish engulfing pattern,...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Market's Foundation
Key Points: 1- S&P 500 breadth has been sub-par recently, with negative internals now in 5/6, 6/8...
Read MoreCappNotes
Four SPX Charts
SPX Weekly Track If it felt like a back-and-forth week with ultimately no net movement in front of a...
Read MoreOpening Look
Five Week Win Streaks
Key Points: 1- Friday’s snapback helped the SPX secure its fifth consecutive weekly advance, its second...
Read MoreRoadmap
Week of 5/28/24
Key Points: 1- Friday’s snapback helped the SPX secure its fifth consecutive weekly advance, its second...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 5/24/24
Chart of the Week – Bearish Engulfing Patterns The SPX logged a bearish engulfing pattern yesterday...
Read MoreOpening Look
After the Reversal
Key Points: 1- Given that the prior few days of price action all were tiny in comparison, the SPX’s reversal...
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5/24/24 - 3 Buys, 2 Shorts
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
Now vs. Nov'23
Key Points: 1- There are similarities between the current comeback and November’23. See below. 2- A...
Read MoreCappNotes
Five Crypto Charts
Ethereum Let’s start with Ethereum’s massive 20% spike. As we know, speculation that an ETF is getting...
Read MoreOpening Look
Chart Rundown
Key Points: 1- Ethereum and Bitcoin’s huge moves have brought them closer to major pattern breakout attempts....
Read MoreOpening Look
Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Key Points: 1- The SPX has a four-week gain of 6.77%. Since June’2020, it’s the 13th four-week gain...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 5/17/24
Chart of the Week – Successful Bullish Patterns The S&P 500 hit its sixth bullish pattern...
Read MoreOpening Look
CPI & Indicator Check Up
Key Points: 1- The SPX comes into CPI Day with a 14-day RSI reading of 64. The last seven times the SPX...
Read MoreCappNotes
SPX, ARKK & NASDAQ Breadth
SPX Still Calm The SPX is coming off its best three-day and three-week advance of 2024, both of which...
Read MoreOpening Look
SPX Still Calm
Key Points: 1- The SPX logged it second negligible loss in the last four trading days. If bullish pattern...
Read MoreOpening Look
Best Three Weeks of 2024
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is +5.1% over the last three weeks. It’s the best three week run of 2024 and...
Read MoreOpening Look
Best Three Weeks of 2024
Key Points: 1- The SPX now is +5.1% over the last three weeks. It’s the best three week run of 2024 and...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap – 5/10/24
Chart of the Week – Good Closes 🟢The SPX just closed above its intra-day mid-point for the 10th...
Read MoreOpening Look
Another Potential Bullish Pattern
Key Points: 1- The SPX is close to triggering another bullish pattern. There are currently two live bullish...
Read MoreOpening Look
Good Closes are Back
Key Points: 1- The SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point 10/13 trading sessions (77% of the time)....
Read MoreChart Trades
5/9/24 - Eight Bullish Bank Charts
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
Read MoreOpening Look
Chart Rundown
Topics Covered: Key Charts -MAGS vs. SPX -KRE Regional banks -XLE Energy -XLU Utilities -XLY Cons Discretionary...
Read MoreOpening Look
Best 3-Day Run… of 2024
Key Points: 1- The SPX logged its second straight 1% gain yesterday – for the third time since the October...
Read MoreOpening Look
Three Important Next Steps
Key Points: 1- The SPX logged its first 1% gain of May on Friday, which makes it four +/-1% moves in...
Read MorePostScript
Week Ending 5/3/24
Topics Covered: -Weekly SPX –Weekly Breadth: SPX, NDX –Best 20 ETFs: XBI, SOCL –Worst...
Read MoreCappNotes
Chart of the Week & Content Wrap - 5/3/24
Chart of the Week – Trading Boxes Why do we track trading boxes so closely? Each trading range...
Read MoreOpening Look
Trading Boxes, Rallies and Failed Tops
Key Points: 1- Why do we track trading boxes so closely? Each trading range leads to one of two things...
Read MoreOpening Look
The Pattern Battle Continues
Key Points: 1- The SPX had seven +/-1% moves in April, the most since October. From January 2022 through...
Read MorePostScript
April'24 Performance & May Outlook
Topics Covered: SPX -Key Monthly Stats -Patterns -Monthly chart -After five straight up months end -May...
Read MoreOpening Look
Choose Your Bias
Key Points: 1- The SPX continues to trace out potential bullish and bearish patterns. See a lot more...
Read MoreCappNotes
Key Spot, Key Week
SPX The SPX capped off last week’s comeback with its second 1% gain of the week. Overall, we’ve seen...
Read MoreOpening Look
Key Spot, Key Week
Key Points: 1- The SPX logged two 1% gains last week. There were at least two 1% gains during a calendar...
Read MorePostScript
Week Ending 4/26/24
Topics Covered: -Weekly SPX –Weekly Breadth: SPX, NDX –Best 20 ETFs: SMH, KWEB –Worst...
Read MoreOpening Look
Another Good Close
Key Points: 1- The SPX has closed above its mid-point four straight days. This has been an about-face...
Read MoreOpening Look
Pattern Battle
Key Points: 1- The Nikkei 225 fell 1% last evening, thus, it failed to recapture its pattern breakdown...
Read MoreChart Trades
4/25/24 - 2 buys, 1 short
For each buy idea, you’ll see: 1-the pattern in blue 2-target 3-the suggested stop in red For each...
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Subscribers to CappThesis will receive dependable, thoughtful, authentic and succinct analysis throughout each week.