Chart of the Week – Good Closes
🟢The SPX just closed above its intra-day mid-point for the 10th in the last 13 trading sessions (a 77%-win rate).
🔴 Even more striking, this has happened right after the worst span of intra-day action over the last six months: From 3/4/24 through 4/19/23, the SPX closed above its mid-point just 41% of the time.
🟢 This was a distinct change of character from what occurred from the October low through March 1st when the index gained nearly +30%. During that persistent uptrend, the SPX finished well very often. How well? 77% of the time. Yes, the exact same rate as now.
From this perspective, the SPX is right back to where it was during the uptrend.
Interviews, articles and social media:
CNBC Pro Article
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/08/bank-stocks-seem-poised-for-a-breakout-according-to-the-charts.html
YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLt-Luxea5Q&t=45s
Barron’s
https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-dow-s-p-500-c91e79fe
CappNotes
Monday
UNLOCKED Opening Look: Three Important Next Steps
https://cappthesis.com/newsletter/three-important-next-steps/
CappThesis Premium Content:
Starter & Professional
Monday
Opening Look: Three Important Next Steps
Tuesday
Opening Look: Best 3-Day Run… of 2024
Wednesday
Opening Look: Chart Rundown
Thursday
Opening Look: Good Closes are Back
Friday
Opening Look: Another Potential Bullish Pattern
Professional Only
Sunday
PostScript: Week Ending 5/3/24
Thursday
Chart Trades – Eight Bullish Bank Charts
Friday
Breaking Out (Video)
Client calls